Why You Shouldn’t Believe Conspiracy Theories

May 6th, 2010

When I was younger I dabbled in conspiracy theories.  I wrote a column for a now-defunct music magazine where I came up with Stream of Consciousness Conspiracy Theories (TM).

Man, was that fun.

Some of my theories included:

  • Mechanics are a communist plot to bankrupt hard-working americans by chanrging a ton of money for fixing your car thus causing people to rise up in  revolution
  • Bugs Bunny is responsible for framing OJ Simpson.
  • Stevie Ray Vaughn faked his own death and is now living in Alaska.
  • Kurt Cobain was an alien (never published due to his untimely death)

I did it for entertainment purposes only. I thought it was hilarious.   Of course, that is until I got letters from people claiming to have “spotted ” Stevie Ray Vaughn. Then, I knew it.  You’ve gotta be nuts to believe some of this stuff.

But it persists.

And frankly, I am surprised how willing a lot of people are to buy into a conspiracy theory that makes absolutely no sense.
So, since it is my job to prevent you from believing crap, I will take on the whole conspiracy theory “thing.”

And I’ll put it simply:

Conspiracy theories are great for the movies (X-files, etc.), but they aren’t reality.

And to put it out there, here are a few things you should know about me:

  • I think Lee Harney Oswald killed Kennedy
  • I believe NASA landed on the moon
  • I think 9/11 was caused by al-Qaeda

And there are a lot more things I believe but that should give you my feelings on conspiracy theories.

And why don’t I believe them?

There are a few reasons:

1. Occam’s Razor

Occam’s razor says: The simplest conclusion is usually the right one.

So, if you need some guy to draw a big map on a chalkboard before you’re able to see the “truth”, then chances are the dude on the chalkboard is feeding you a load.

This is especially true when the alternative is a sentence long.
Hmm…thousands of people were involved in assassinating and covering up Kennedy’s assassination.

OR

The guy caught with the gun in his hand did it.

2. I don’t go around trying to prove what’s NOT true

A lot of conspiracy theories once debunked basically boil it down to: you can’t prove it’s NOT true!

No kidding.

No one could prove that Bugs Bunny didn’t frame OJ Simpson.

And to this day, no one could prove to me that mechanics were NOT part of a communist plot to overthrow the government.

And no one could prove to me that Stevie Ray Vaughn did NOT fake his own death.*

* Just to give an idea..if someone shows me Stevie’s body, I say it’s not his real body.  If someone does a DNA test, I say the lab was in on it or the results were swapped…see how easy that is?

You gotta theory, you should make claims people can prove or disprove.  If they’re disproven, move on.

If I tell you I’m an elf, you can’t prove it’s not true.  Even though saying I’m an elf makes me nuts.
3. I look at the evidence and THEN draw a conclusion

The one thing I notice about conspiracy theories is that they feed into someone’s already-established worldview.  You can go no further than holocaust deniers.  They look for “evidence” that the Holocaust didn’t happen because they don’t like Jews.  That’s why David Irving got his a@* kicked in court when he tried to sue someone for calling him a holocaust denier.  The judge basically said he ignored evidence that didn’t support his view.

If interested, read this legal butt-kicking.

Yep.  Most conspiracy theories work that way.

I’ve never seen one guy promoting some conspiracy theory that contradicted his world view.

Not a one…

  • Pingback: Carlon Haas

  • Pingback: Michel Fortin

  • Pingback: jayxtreme

  • Pingback: Penelope Grace

  • Pingback: James Cannon

  • Pingback: James Cannon

  • Pingback: James Cannon

  • Pingback: Carlon Haas

  • Pingback: Carlon Haas

  • Self Help Author

    al-Qaeda?

    The name literally means “the base”. It refers to the database of Jihadis on the CIA payroll during the proxy war against Soviet occupation of Afghanistan.

    Osama Bin Laden was a known CIA asset during the 1980s and we are now asked to believe that he has turned against his former paymasters.

    Chris Cuomo’s Good Morning America interview with some non-radical Pakistani teenage students should be a wake up call to westerners.

    You can find it by googling: Chris Cuomo Bin Laden CIA asset.

    Personally, I’d love to know how 19 Arabs with box cutters made Norad stand down that day.

    I also find Alex Jones’ July 2001 prediction of a major false-flag operation to be rather prophetic, if not actually conclusive.

    Google: Alex Jones predicts 9/11.

  • Anonymous

    I watched the Alex Jones video and I’m wondering what exactly he predicted. He didn’t predict anything. He just said that the government is going to commit terrorism and that we should blame them and not someone like bin Laden.

    He mentioned WTC, but he was referring to the previous attack.

    As to bin Laden being a CIA asset, that is old news. Saddam Hussein was a US ally in the 80′s, but has no bearing on his current dead status.

    I think I’ll do a post on this one. I’d never heard of Alex Jones before.

    Thanks for letting me know.

  • Self Help Author

    Yes, Jones mentioned the previous attack but he also correctly predicted a major “Reichstag Event” that would take place in America. He based this prediction on material from the Associated Press.

    The Reichstag Fire, is of course, is a well-known false-flag operation where Goering and a few stormtroopers set fire to a building, blamed an innocent patsy for the crime, said he was communist and used this as a pretext for dictatorship and war.

  • Anonymous

    Yes,. I think he mentioned that the US would turn to marshal law, which didn’t happen. As bad as 9/11 was for some civil liberties in the United States, it didn’t lead to a dictatorship or marshal law.

    I’m glad you brought this to my attention. I am definitely going to do a post on this. I am usually up to date on people like Jones, but he slipped my radar.

  • http://ChristophDollis.com/3AF Christoph Dollis

    Tom Clancy certainly did a much better job of predicting 9/11 in his book “Debt of Honor”, but he did it just by being an intelligent, security-minded thinker who realized a commercial airplane would make hella-good weapon on a largely undefended, high value, high occupancy target building.

    One person who made accurate predictions about airplanes being used against the Twin Towers specifically, is heroic-as-hell former (he died saving lives during the aftermath of the attack) Morgan Stanley security chief, Rick Rescorla.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rick_Rescorla

    He learned under the best of the best, Lt. Gen. Harold Moore, commander of the 1st of the 7th Cavalry at Ia Drang.

    Carlon, I think you’ll like Moore’s philosophy and consider it the perfect counterpoint to affirmations and their self-help, new-agey ilk.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PJo6YZTbPXg

    Carlon, think Rescorla and Moore were big build-a-better mindset product consumers?

    Or do you think maybe, just maybe, they were successful in part because they studied the information that was specific to them doing their actual jobs?

    With a little bit of actual philosophy thrown in.

    Oh — Moore’s sister battalion got massacred the next day only two-and-a-half miles away, facing similar odds. The difference, in large measure, was Moore’s incredible battlefield leadership skills, developed under the philosophy you can hear in his own words above. And yeah, he studied the enemy, including a previous massacre successfully engineered by the person who would prove to be the opposing commander at Ia Drang, other actions during the Indo-China war, and the nature of the Vietnamese people themselves, whom he respected. (Not so much study of Napoleon Hill nor Rhonda Byrne.)

  • allias

    bohemian groove that is all